SoFi shares have collapsed nearly 40% this year even as the company keeps beating forecasts and adding members at a record pace. The path to a dramatic recovery exists, but it depends on a few catalysts Wall Street has not fully priced in yet.
SoFi shares have collapsed nearly 40% this year even as the company keeps beating forecasts and adding members at a record pace. The path to a dramatic recovery exists, but it depends on a few catalysts Wall Street has not…
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SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ:SOFI | SOFI Price Prediction) has been one of 2026’s toughest stocks to own. Shares sit at $15.97, down 39% year-to-date and well below the 52-week high of $32.73. The business continues to expand.
In the second quarter, SoFi added a record 2.2 million products. For the first time, it added twice as many products as members, a milestone CEO Anthony Noto called “a clear inflection point for SoFi.” With the stock close to its lows, I want to lay out how SoFi could reach $25 per share in 2027.
Wall Street Sees 27% Upside as 2027 Estimates RiseThe consensus price target of $20.35 implies about 27% upside. Analysts expect 2027 EPS of $0.8240, compared with $0.5947 in 2026. That works out to roughly 39% growth, on about 25% revenue growth. Ninety days ago, the 2027 estimate stood at $0.8127. Over the past 30 days, analysts made five up revisions and two down ones.
SoFi has also met or beaten EPS expectations for six straight quarters, and revenue topped estimates in every one of them. In Q2, EPS came in at $0.12, above the $0.1092 forecast. A run like that suggests the current estimates may turn out to be conservative.
Here’s What It Takes for SoFi to Reach $25SoFi trades at about 19x 2027 earnings, below the S&P 500’s forward multiple of roughly 22x. At $25, the multiple would be about 30x. That is a premium, but management’s medium-term guidance calls for 38% to 42% annual EPS growth through 2028, and the stock’s PEG ratio is just 0.596.
Here’s what could drive SoFi to $25.
With a beta of 2.208, SoFi would gain more than most stocks from falling rates and a strong market. A downturn would make $25 toughest to reach.
SoFi’s History Says a 57% Gain Is PossibleReaching $25 requires a gain of about 57%. SoFi has cleared that bar in two of its last three full years. Shares rose 116% in 2023 and 70% in 2025. The 55% gain in 2024 fell just short. SoFi’s volatility works in both directions.
Is $25 Realistic? Here’s My TakeA 57% gain is ambitious, but Wall Street already sees 27% upside, 2027 estimates are rising, and SoFi keeps beating forecasts.
Key hurdles remain: Technology Platform revenue fell 23% after a large client left, and consumer-credit risk never goes away. If cross-selling keeps accelerating and the market rewards that growth, $25 is within reach. Returns at this level aren’t an annual occurrence, but we’ve outlined the case for how SoFi could see outsized returns in 2027.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
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